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San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
San Diego FC Logo

San Diego FC

3 - 1
FT
Los Angeles Galaxy Logo

Los Angeles Galaxy

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Achouri E.
Assist: Dreyer A.
21'
Reus M.
23'
Tverskov J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between San Diego FC and Los Angeles Galaxy finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
San Diego FC
30%
Draws
58%
Los Angeles Galaxy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Angeles Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Angeles Galaxy come out ahead of San Diego FC on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Los Angeles Galaxy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Diego FC here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Los Angeles Galaxy
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3:1
May 24, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2:1
Feb 24, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Achouri E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sargeant K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Los Angeles Galaxy Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 10 / 100
Los Angeles Galaxy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Los Angeles Galaxy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Angeles Galaxy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Los Angeles Galaxy conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

San Diego FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: San Diego FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Los Angeles Galaxy
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles Galaxy

(Away)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)