Sport Picks

USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium

Minnesota United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Diego FC play Minnesota United in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Diego FC averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Minnesota United averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, San Diego FC won 2, Minnesota United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for San Diego FC and 1.75 for Minnesota United. This points to a San Diego FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

San Diego FC

15%

Draws

41%

Minnesota United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

San Diego FC picked up more points recently compared to Minnesota United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

San Diego FC Clean Sheet 12%

Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Diego FC	Minnesota United
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	13	13
Draws	6	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	2.03	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.65	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 MLS

San Diego FC vs Minnesota United

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Nov 25, 2025 MLS

San Diego FC vs Minnesota United

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sep 14, 2025 MLS

San Diego FC vs Minnesota United

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:3

Jun 15, 2025 MLS

Minnesota United vs San Diego FC

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bombino L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Minnesota United Compare

Top Goalscorer Duncan K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yeboah K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 42 / 100

Minnesota United 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Diego FC Minnesota United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Diego FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Diego FC attacking → ← attacking Minnesota United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego FC scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Minnesota United let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

San Diego FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Minnesota United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 46

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	10	2	2	34:12	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	10	2	3	34:15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	8	2	4	26:19	26
4	FC Dallas	15	7	4	4	30:22	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	7	3	5	24:17	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	7	3	3	17:11	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	7	1	6	19:23	22
8	Minnesota United	15	6	4	5	18:22	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	5	5	5	22:22	20
10	San Diego FC	15	4	5	6	30:27	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	5	1	9	25:24	16
12	St. Louis City	14	4	4	6	16:20	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	4	2	8	22:28	14
14	Austin FC	15	3	5	7	19:31	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	2	9	14:36	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	10	3	1	31:11	33
2	Inter Miami	15	9	4	2	39:28	31
3	Chicago Fire	14	8	2	4	27:16	26
4	New England Revolution	14	8	1	5	22:18	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	6	4	5	25:32	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	6	3	6	24:23	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	5	5	5	36:37	20
8	New York City	15	5	4	6	25:21	19
9	DC United	15	4	6	5	21:25	18
10	Columbus Crew	15	4	4	7	21:23	16
11	CF Montreal	14	4	2	8	22:31	14
12	Orlando City	15	4	2	9	23:44	14
13	Toronto FC	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
14	Atlanta United	14	3	2	9	14:23	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	1	4	10	18:30	7