Sport Picks
San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
27'
27'
Damiani B.
45'
45'
Alvarado Jr A.
45'
45'
Sullivan C.
Assist: Vassilev I.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between San Diego FC and Philadelphia Union finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
20%
71%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Philadelphia Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Philadelphia Union come out ahead of San Diego FC on wins alone.
- Philadelphia Union are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Philadelphia Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Sullivan C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Damiani B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego FC 10 / 100
Philadelphia Union 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego FC Philadelphia Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
San Diego FC scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Philadelphia Union has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: San Diego FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Diego FC VS Philadelphia Union
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego FC
(Home) 10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1 San Diego FC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
30 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
23 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 0 Colorado Rapids
13 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 2 Puebla
Page 1 of 3
Philadelphia Union
(Away) 10 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
29 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3 Philadelphia Union
23 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 1 Philadelphia Union
16 Aug
New York City
2 : 3 Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
