Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kelsy K.
32' Event
Dreyer A.
(Penalty)
47'
Ingvartsen M.

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Timbers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
San Diego FC
28%
Draws
22%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Diego FC lately — more wins on the board than Portland Timbers.
  • Model gives San Diego FC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Portland Timbers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
1:2
Nov 10, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC
3:2
Oct 27, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelsy K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonetig A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 47 / 100
Portland Timbers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Portland Timbers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego FC found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Portland Timbers let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

San Diego FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Portland Timbers
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307