Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Diego FC host Sporting Kansas City in the MLS. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sporting Kansas City have shipped 2.52 goals a game lately, while San Diego FC have conceded 1.97 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, San Diego FC have won 2 to Sporting Kansas City's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.44) point toward San Diego FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
San Diego FC
35%
Draws
9%
Sporting Kansas City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • San Diego FC have won more games recently than Sporting Kansas City.
  • Win probability leans San Diego FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and San Diego FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Sporting Kansas City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.66 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego FC
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego FC
0:2
May 18, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 83 / 100
Sporting Kansas City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Sporting Kansas City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Diego FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego FC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sporting Kansas City has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

San Diego FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sporting Kansas City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Sporting Kansas City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
31 Oct
St. Louis City
0 : 1
San Diego FC
29 Oct
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
San Diego FC
25 Oct
San Diego FC
2 : 2
Seattle Sounders
18 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 2
San Diego FC
15 Oct
San Diego FC
3 : 3
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Kansas City

(Away)
31 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 1
FC Dallas
29 Oct
Minnesota United
3 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
25 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
Austin FC
18 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 3
Real Salt Lake
15 Oct
Nashville SC
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 32 17 7 8 67:33 58
2 FC Dallas 32 15 9 8 58:49 54
3 St. Louis City 32 14 9 9 58:47 51
4 Houston Dynamo 32 14 9 9 42:39 51
5 San Jose Earthquakes 32 13 10 9 54:47 49
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Colorado Rapids 32 12 7 13 44:43 43
8 Seattle Sounders 32 11 10 11 41:40 43
9 Real Salt Lake 32 12 6 14 50:49 42
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
11 Portland Timbers 32 11 7 14 57:60 40
12 Minnesota United 32 9 11 12 50:56 38
13 San Diego FC 32 8 11 13 56:62 35
14 Austin FC 32 8 10 14 41:59 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 32 6 4 22 38:80 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 32 21 8 3 66:23 71
2 New England Revolution 32 18 4 10 54:44 58
3 Inter Miami 32 15 11 6 75:55 56
4 Chicago Fire 32 15 7 10 57:48 52
5 Charlotte FC 32 14 8 10 59:48 50
6 Philadelphia Union 32 13 8 11 62:50 47
7 Orlando City 32 12 7 13 62:74 43
8 FC Cincinnati 32 11 10 11 66:73 43
9 Columbus Crew 32 12 5 15 52:49 41
10 New York Red Bulls 32 11 6 15 43:59 39
11 Toronto FC 32 9 12 11 50:60 39
12 New York City 32 9 11 12 47:44 38
13 DC United 32 7 12 13 39:57 33
14 Atlanta United 32 8 6 18 40:56 30
15 CF Montreal 32 6 7 19 36:66 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)