Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego FC vs St. Louis City

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dreyer A.
Assist: Ingvartsen M.
45'
Durkin C.
46'
Sub
Santos R. In: Totland T.
Out: Santos R.

AI Match Summary

San Diego FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Diego FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
San Diego FC
33%
Draws
40%
St. Louis City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Diego FC and St. Louis City have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Model gives St. Louis City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • San Diego FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 12%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC St. Louis City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs St. Louis City
2:0
May 11, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs San Diego FC
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs St. Louis City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dreyer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingvartsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Louis City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 27 / 100
St. Louis City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC St. Louis City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

St. Louis City let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: San Diego FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS St. Louis City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
26 Jul
San Diego FC
1 : 0
FC Dallas
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
San Diego FC
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3
FC Cincinnati
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

St. Louis City

(Away)
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids
23 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 3
St. Louis City
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0
Austin FC
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps16103337:1633
2Los Angeles FC18103534:1833
3San Jose Earthquakes17103435:2033
4Real Salt Lake1682628:2426
5Houston Dynamo1682623:2426
6FC Dallas1775532:2526
7St. Louis City1774623:2325
8Seattle Sounders1673619:2024
9Minnesota United1765619:2423
10Portland Timbers1763831:3221
11Los Angeles Galaxy1856724:2921
12San Diego FC1755731:2820
13Colorado Rapids17611026:2519
14Austin FC1745822:3517
15Sporting Kansas City17421118:4414
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC17123233:1239
2Inter Miami17114243:3037
3New England Revolution1692526:1929
4Chicago Fire1682630:2226
5New York City1774630:2325
6Charlotte FC1774628:2525
7FC Cincinnati1765641:4223
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1757524:2722
10Orlando City1762928:4420
11Columbus Crew1754824:2619
12Toronto FC1737723:3116
13CF Montreal17431022:3315
14Philadelphia Union17341022:3113
15Atlanta United17331117:3012
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)