Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kundananji R.
Assist: Huff T.
12'
Hutton C.
15'
Cometti A.

AI Match Summary

Bay FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bay FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
San Diego Wave W
17%
Draws
13%
Bay FC W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Diego Wave W lately — more wins on the board than Bay FC W.
  • Win probability leans San Diego Wave W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 20%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego Wave W Bay FC W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC W
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:2
May 5, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC W
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC W
3:1
May 18, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego Wave W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bay FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kundananji R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego Wave W 67 / 100
Bay FC W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego Wave W Bay FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay FC W has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

San Diego Wave W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

San Diego Wave W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Diego Wave W VS Bay FC W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
2Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1483316:827
5Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
6Utah Royals W1473421:1624
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1562721:2020
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1344519:1816
12Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
13Houston Dash W1443717:2315
14Bay FC W1343613:1915
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267