Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego Wave W vs Chicago Stars W

USA USA

NWSL Women 2025 Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cascarino D.
15' Event
Staab S.
Own Goal
18' Event
Dudinha

AI Match Summary

San Diego Wave W in this NWSL Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Diego Wave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
San Diego Wave W
11%
Draws
9%
Chicago Stars W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Diego Wave W lately — more wins on the board than Chicago Stars W.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on San Diego Wave W taking it.
  • Regular NWSL Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Diego Wave W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 68%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego Wave W Chicago Stars W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs San Diego Wave W
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Chicago Stars W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Chicago Stars W
6:1
Apr 26, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs San Diego Wave W
0:3
Sep 22, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs San Diego Wave W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego Wave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudinha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cascarino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chicago Stars W Compare

Top Goalscorer Franklin B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego Wave W 86 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego Wave W Chicago Stars W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chicago Stars W conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: San Diego Wave W scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Diego Wave W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego Wave W VS Chicago Stars W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego Wave W

(Home)
18 Jul
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
San Diego Wave W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2
Angel City W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4
San Diego Wave W
04 Jun
San Diego Wave W
1 : 0
Philippines W
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Chicago Stars W

(Away)
18 Jul
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
Angel City W
11 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 0
Chicago Stars W
05 Jul
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2
Utah Royals W
31 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1
Chicago Stars W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kansas City Current W26212349:1365
2Washington Spirit W26128642:3344
3Portland Thorns FC W26117836:2940
4Orlando Pride W26117833:2740
5Seattle Reign W26109732:2939
6San Diego Wave W26107941:3437
7Racing Louisville W26107935:3837
8Gotham FC W2699835:2536
9North Carolina Courage W2698937:3935
10Houston Dash W26861227:3930
11Angel City W26761331:4127
12Utah Royals W26671328:4225
13Bay FC W26481426:4120
14Chicago Stars W263111232:5420
Promotion - NWSL Women 2025 (Play Offs)