Sport Picks
San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
23'
23'
Corley G.
44'
44'
Okafor C.
63'
63'
Sub
Okafor C. In: Wickenheiser C.
Out: Okafor C.
AI Match Summary
San Diego Wave W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Diego Wave W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Diego Wave W have won more games recently than North Carolina Courage W.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 11%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego Wave W | North Carolina Courage W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W
0:0
May 26, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W
5:2
Oct 5, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1
Sep 9, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego Wave W Compare
Top Goalscorer Corley G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barcenas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego Wave W 29 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego Wave W North Carolina Courage W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: San Diego Wave W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
North Carolina Courage W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: San Diego Wave W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Diego Wave W VS North Carolina Courage W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego Wave W
(Home) 03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
15 Aug
San Diego Wave W
1 : 1 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 3
North Carolina Courage W
(Away) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
