Sport Picks
San Diego Wave W vs Racing Louisville W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
12'
12'
Milliet L.
Assist: Fischer K.
23'
23'
Flint T.
Assist: Wright A.
46'
46'
Sub
Fazer L. In: Ascanio K.
Out: Fazer L.
AI Match Summary
San Diego Wave W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Diego Wave W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- San Diego Wave W have won more games recently than Racing Louisville W.
- San Diego Wave W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and San Diego Wave W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 17%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego Wave W | Racing Louisville W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W
0:2
Aug 29, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Racing Louisville W
3:2
Aug 25, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Racing Louisville W
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W
1:4
Nov 3, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Racing Louisville W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego Wave W Compare
Top Goalscorer Byars T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dali K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Milliet L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Flint T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego Wave W 84 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego Wave W Racing Louisville W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Louisville W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: San Diego Wave W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
San Diego Wave W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Diego Wave W VS Racing Louisville W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego Wave W
(Home) 03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
15 Aug
San Diego Wave W
1 : 1 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Racing Louisville W
(Away) 03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
23 Aug
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
07 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 3 Racing Louisville W
30 Jul
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
