Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego Wave W vs Seattle Reign W

USA USA

NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Diego Wave W host Seattle Reign W in the NWSL Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Seattle Reign W have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while San Diego Wave W have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Seattle Reign W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.06, favoring San Diego Wave W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
San Diego Wave W
28%
Draws
22%
Seattle Reign W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • San Diego Wave W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Diego Wave W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 20%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego Wave W Seattle Reign W
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs San Diego Wave W
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Seattle Reign W
1:2
May 4, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Seattle Reign W
1:0
Nov 6, 2023 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Seattle Reign W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego Wave W 49 / 100
Seattle Reign W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego Wave W Seattle Reign W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego Wave W scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Seattle Reign W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

San Diego Wave W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego Wave W VS Seattle Reign W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego Wave W

(Home)
18 Jul
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
San Diego Wave W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2
Angel City W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4
San Diego Wave W
04 Jun
San Diego Wave W
1 : 0
Philippines W
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Seattle Reign W

(Away)
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2
Seattle Reign W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Portland Thorns FC W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
23 May
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Seattle Reign W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)