Sport Picks
San Diego Wave W vs Seattle Reign W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
17'
17'
Mercado M.
Assist: McCammon A.
20'
20'
Bugg J.
Assist: McCammon A.
25'
25'
McClernon P.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between San Diego Wave W and Seattle Reign W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seattle Reign W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Diego Wave W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans San Diego Wave W's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Seattle Reign W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 20%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego Wave W | Seattle Reign W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs San Diego Wave W
1:0
Jul 26, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Seattle Reign W
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs San Diego Wave W
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Seattle Reign W
1:2
May 4, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego Wave W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Seattle Reign W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mercado M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bugg J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego Wave W 58 / 100
Seattle Reign W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego Wave W Seattle Reign W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Diego Wave W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Seattle Reign W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: San Diego Wave W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Diego Wave W VS Seattle Reign W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego Wave W
(Home) 03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
15 Aug
San Diego Wave W
1 : 1 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 3
Seattle Reign W
(Away) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
22 Aug
Kansas City Current W
1 : 1 Seattle Reign W
19 Aug
Racing Louisville W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
02 Aug
Bay FC W
2 : 3 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
