Sport Picks
San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
4'
4'
Byars T.
Assist: Barcenas M.
29'
29'
Tanaka M.
Assist: Delzer C.
40'
40'
Barcenas M.
Assist: Byars T.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between San Diego Wave W and Utah Royals W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Diego Wave W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on San Diego Wave W taking it.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and San Diego Wave W have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 16%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego Wave W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W
4:2
Mar 22, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs San Diego Wave W
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs San Diego Wave W
2:3
Mar 23, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs San Diego Wave W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego Wave W Compare
Top Goalscorer Byars T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Barcenas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Utah Royals W Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanaka M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego Wave W 84 / 100
Utah Royals W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego Wave W Utah Royals W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
San Diego Wave W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Utah Royals W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Solid form: San Diego Wave W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Diego Wave W VS Utah Royals W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego Wave W
(Home) 03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
15 Aug
San Diego Wave W
1 : 1 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 3
Utah Royals W
(Away) 03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3 Angel City W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2 Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 Utah Royals W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
09 Aug
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
