Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Donato Tavarnelle vs FC Ponsacco

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Giordani G.
49' Event
Regoli V.
64' Event
Regoli V.

AI Match Summary

San Donato Tavarnelle in this Serie D - Group E 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Donato Tavarnelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Donato Tavarnelle
33%
Draws
27%
FC Ponsacco
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Donato Tavarnelle lately — more wins on the board than FC Ponsacco.
  • San Donato Tavarnelle are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 20%
FC Ponsacco Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle FC Ponsacco
Matches Played 37 22
Wins 13 1
Draws 12 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs FC Ponsacco
3:1
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group E
FC Ponsacco vs San Donato Tavarnelle
3:1
Apr 7, 2019 Serie D - Group E
FC Ponsacco vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0
Dec 2, 2018 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs FC Ponsacco
2:1
Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group E
FC Ponsacco vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Regoli V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Giordani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

FC Ponsacco Compare

Top Goalscorer Djibril N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 40 / 100
FC Ponsacco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle FC Ponsacco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ponsacco let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

San Donato Tavarnelle's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

San Donato Tavarnelle has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Donato Tavarnelle VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Donato Tavarnelle

(Home)
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Foligno
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
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FC Ponsacco

(Away)
01 Mar
FC Ponsacco
0 : 1
Sangiovannese
23 Feb
Tuttocuoio
1 : 0
FC Ponsacco
16 Feb
FC Ponsacco
2 : 2
Bastia Calcio
09 Feb
FC Ponsacco
1 : 1
Sporting Trestina
02 Feb
San Donato Tavarnelle
3 : 1
FC Ponsacco
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