Sport Picks
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Follonica Gavorrano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
54'
54'
Pino A.
87'
87'
Pino A.
AI Match Summary
Follonica Gavorrano in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Follonica Gavorrano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Follonica Gavorrano have won more games recently than San Donato Tavarnelle.
- Model gives Follonica Gavorrano a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 18%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Follonica Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Pino A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donato Tavarnelle 28 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donato Tavarnelle Follonica Gavorrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Follonica Gavorrano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: San Donato Tavarnelle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Donato Tavarnelle VS Follonica Gavorrano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Home) 04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Siena
05 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 2 Scandicci
Page 1 of 3
Follonica Gavorrano
(Away) 04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Tau | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Scandicci | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Seravezza Pozzi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | SCD Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
