Sport Picks
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
8'
8'
Compagnone D.
80'
80'
Lomangino D.
82'
82'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
35%
36%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mezzolara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- San Donato Tavarnelle have won more games recently than Mezzolara.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and San Donato Tavarnelle have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 22%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Mezzolara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara
1:1
May 7, 2017 Serie D - Group D
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara
4:1
Dec 18, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Lomangino D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Mezzolara Compare
Top Goalscorer Compagnone D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donato Tavarnelle 32 / 100
Mezzolara 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donato Tavarnelle Mezzolara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
San Donato Tavarnelle found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Mezzolara has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: San Donato Tavarnelle stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Donato Tavarnelle VS Mezzolara
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Home) 18 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Tau
11 Oct
Prato
2 : 0 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 7
18 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Tau
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Siena
Page 1 of 4
Mezzolara
(Away) 18 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Mezzolara
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Mezzolara
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
28 Apr
Forli FC
2 : 0 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Follonica Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 5 | Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | SCD Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:17 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
