Sport Picks
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
8'
8'
Morelli M.
22'
22'
Bedini B.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Gistri P.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E game between San Donato Tavarnelle and Seravezza Pozzi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Donato Tavarnelle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seravezza Pozzi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- San Donato Tavarnelle haven't matched Seravezza Pozzi's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Seravezza Pozzi's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 15%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Seravezza Pozzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
2:1
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Seravezza Pozzi vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Morelli M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gistri P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Seravezza Pozzi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donato Tavarnelle 27 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donato Tavarnelle Seravezza Pozzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Seravezza Pozzi let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
San Donato Tavarnelle has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Donato Tavarnelle VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Home) 04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Siena
05 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 2 Scandicci
Page 1 of 3
Seravezza Pozzi
(Away) 07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2 Lucchese
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0 Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Tau | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Scandicci | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Seravezza Pozzi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | SCD Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
