Sport Picks
Match Events
48'
48'
Omorogieva D.
71'
71'
Carli F.
80'
80'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tau lately — more wins on the board than San Donato Tavarnelle.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on San Donato Tavarnelle taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%
Tau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Tau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs San Donato Tavarnelle
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Perugi S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Tau Compare
Top Goalscorer Omorogieva D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donato Tavarnelle 59 / 100
Tau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donato Tavarnelle Tau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Donato Tavarnelle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Tau conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: San Donato Tavarnelle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Donato Tavarnelle VS Tau
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Home) 27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Siena
05 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 2 Scandicci
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 3
Tau
(Away) 27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Rondinella
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1 Tau
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1 Tau
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2 Tau
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2 Tau
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0 Tau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
