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San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Omorogieva D.
71' Event
Carli F.
80'

AI Match Summary

San Donato Tavarnelle host Tau in the Serie D - Group E. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: San Donato Tavarnelle at 0.88 goals for, 0.88 against; Tau at 0.88 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Tau slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.88, favoring Tau. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Donato Tavarnelle
33%
Draws
27%
Tau
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tau has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Donato Tavarnelle.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for San Donato Tavarnelle.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group E provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%
Tau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Tau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs San Donato Tavarnelle
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Perugi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tau Compare

Top Goalscorer Omorogieva D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 50 / 100
Tau 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle Tau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Tau let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Donato Tavarnelle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tau lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Donato Tavarnelle VS Tau
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622