Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Trombetta M.
51'
51'
Gozzo L.
73'
73'
Mordini D.
AI Match Summary
Corticella in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Donnino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Corticella lately — more wins on the board than San Donnino.
- Win probability leans San Donnino's way, sitting at 90%.
- Corticella arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Corticella, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Corticella have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
San Donnino Clean Sheet 20%
Corticella Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donnino | Corticella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs San Donnino
2:2
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Corticella
0:2
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
San Donnino vs Corticella
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donnino Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Corticella Compare
Top Goalscorer Trombetta M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gozzo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donnino 85 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donnino Corticella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Donnino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Corticella has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
San Donnino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Corticella lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Corticella
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donnino
(Home) 05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2 San Donnino
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2 Ravenna
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2 San Donnino
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1 Sant'Angelo
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3 San Donnino
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2 Ravenna
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1 Sant'Angelo
28 Mar
San Donnino
1 : 0 Pistoiese
17 Mar
San Donnino
3 : 1 Sangiuliano City
25 Feb
San Donnino
1 : 2 Imolese
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Corticella
(Away) 18 May
Corticella
0 : 2 Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3 Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1 Corticella
Page 1 of 7
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Corticella
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1 Corticella
30 Mar
Ravenna
5 : 2 Corticella
09 Mar
SCD Progresso
4 : 0 Corticella
23 Feb
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Corticella
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Virtus Bolzano 0
Luparense FC 3
Chions 1
Clodiense 1
Ravenna 0
Campodarsego 1
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Arconatese 1
Alcione Milano 0
Castellanzese 0
Varesina 2
Pro Palazzolo 1
Desenzano Calvina 0
Real Calepina 1
Ponte San Pietro 0
Asti Calcio 1
PDHA 0
Chisola 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 1
Fanfulla 0
Fezzanese 0
Vado 1
Livorno 2
Ghiviborgo 1
Poggibonsi 2
Aglianese Calcio 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Sangiovannese 1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 2
Pistoiese 1
San Donnino 0
Corticella 3
Forli FC 1
Imolese 3
Fano 2
Sambenedettese 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Campobasso 1
Grosseto 2
Nuova Florida 3
Tivoli Calcio 1
Ostiamare 0
Trastevere Calcio 2
Latte Dolce 0
Real Monterotondo 1
Cynthialbalonga 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Casarano 4
Fidelis Andria 2
Bitonto 1
San Marzano 2
Paganese 3
Cavese 3
Rotonda 0
Angri 3
Real Casalnuovo 1
Vibonese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Akragas 2
Canicatti 1
Trapani 2
Sancataldese 1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Luparense FC 0
Clodiense 1
Campodarsego 0
Arconatese 0
Varesina 1
Pro Palazzolo 2
Real Calepina 1
Asti Calcio 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 2
Vado 1
Livorno 3
Poggibonsi 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 1
Corticella 0
Imolese 2
Fano 0
Campobasso 1
Nuova Florida 2
Tivoli Calcio 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Cynthialbalonga 1
Casarano 0
Fidelis Andria 3
Paganese 0
Cavese 1
Angri -
Lamezia Terme -
Akragas 0
Trapani 3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 2
Varesina 3
Pro Palazzolo 0
Bra 0
USD Casatese 1
Livorno 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Imolese 1
Campobasso 0
Nuova Florida 2
Cynthialbalonga 1
Fidelis Andria 3
Cavese 1
Angri 0
Trapani 3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense 0
Varesina 1
USD Casatese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Imolese 1
Nuova Florida 0
Fidelis Andria 1
Trapani 2
Semi-finals
Varesina 3
Follonica Gavorrano 4
Imolese 1
Trapani 3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Trapani 2
