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San Felipe vs San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Perales V.
46'
Sub
Bustos G. In: Vergara S.
Out: Bustos G.
50'
Vides B.

AI Match Summary

San Luis in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
San Felipe
20%
Draws
71%
San Luis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • San Luis have won more games recently than San Felipe.
  • Model gives San Luis a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 19%
San Luis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Felipe San Luis
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.66 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Luis
0:1
May 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs San Felipe
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Luis
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs San Felipe
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Luis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Felipe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Felipe 10 / 100
San Luis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Felipe San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luis has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

San Felipe found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: San Felipe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Felipe VS San Luis
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Felipe

(Home)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

San Luis

(Away)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)