Sport Picks
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe 
Match Events
32'
32'
Melivilu Fuentes C.
46'
46'
Sub
Fuentes D. In: Bravo D.
Out: Fuentes D.
50'
50'
Tapia B.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between San Felipe and San Marcos de Arica finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Felipe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Marcos de Arica come out ahead of San Felipe on wins alone.
- San Felipe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
1:2
Jun 4, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Felipe Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Melivilu Fuentes C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Felipe 95 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Felipe San Marcos de Arica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: San Marcos de Arica registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
San Felipe's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
San Marcos de Arica let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
San Felipe VS San Marcos de Arica
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Felipe
(Home) 04 Jul
San Felipe
1 : 1 Union La Calera
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0 San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2 San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2 San Felipe
30 May
San Felipe
1 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
San Felipe
1 : 1 Union La Calera
30 May
San Felipe
1 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
16 May
San Felipe
2 : 1 Rangers
25 Apr
San Felipe
0 : 1 Magallanes
11 Apr
San Felipe
0 : 0 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 3
San Marcos de Arica
(Away) 06 Jul
Limache
4 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
27 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Coquimbo
20 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 3 Limache
06 Jun
San Luis
1 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
31 May
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Deportes Temuco
Page 1 of 6
06 Jul
Limache
4 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Jun
San Luis
1 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
24 May
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
12 May
Curico Unido
2 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
25 Apr
Copiapo
0 : 3 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 29 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos de Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 23 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 9 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:24 | 18 |
| 13 | San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)