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Stadium Background

San Felipe vs U. Espanola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Felipe host U. Espanola in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. U. Espanola have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while San Felipe have conceded 1.66 and scored 0.62. Past meetings favor U. Espanola slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.13, favoring U. Espanola. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
San Felipe
20%
Draws
64%
U. Espanola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Espanola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to U. Espanola lately — more wins on the board than San Felipe.
  • Win probability leans U. Espanola's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 20%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Felipe U. Espanola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs San Felipe
2:2
Jul 22, 2017 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs San Felipe
0:2
Jul 16, 2017 Copa Chile
San Felipe vs U. Espanola
1:2
Aug 2, 2015 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs San Felipe
2:1
Jul 8, 2015 Copa Chile
San Felipe vs U. Espanola
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Felipe 20 / 100
U. Espanola 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Felipe U. Espanola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Espanola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Espanola let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: U. Espanola has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

San Felipe scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

San Felipe VS U. Espanola
0.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Felipe

(Home)
18 Oct
San Felipe
2 : 2
Deportes Temuco
12 Oct
Rangers
4 : 0
San Felipe
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
Page 1 of 6

U. Espanola

(Away)
19 Oct
U. Espanola
1 : 0
Copiapo
12 Oct
Deportes Iquique
1 : 0
U. Espanola
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Luis 28 15 8 5 43:29 53
2 Cobreloa 28 14 9 5 51:30 51
3 S. Wanderers 28 13 8 7 46:31 47
4 Magallanes 28 13 7 8 44:40 46
5 Antofagasta 28 12 9 7 47:26 45
6 Recoleta 28 11 8 9 40:42 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 28 10 10 8 33:27 40
8 Copiapo 28 11 7 10 42:41 40
9 U. Espanola 28 11 6 11 33:35 39
10 Deportes Temuco 28 9 9 10 44:39 36
11 Deportes Iquique 28 8 11 9 38:32 35
12 D. Puerto Montt 28 10 5 13 26:35 35
13 Curico Unido 28 7 10 11 26:42 28
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 28 4 11 13 28:42 23
15 San Felipe 28 5 8 15 18:50 23
16 Rangers 28 5 6 17 28:46 21
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)