Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Felipe vs Union La Calera

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Cruz J.
34'
Palma N.
36'
Mendez K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
San Felipe
30%
Draws
54%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union La Calera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Union La Calera have won more games recently than San Felipe.
  • Union La Calera are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Union La Calera arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Union La Calera, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 21%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Felipe Union La Calera
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.68 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa Chile
San Felipe vs Union La Calera
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs San Felipe
0:2
Aug 27, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Union La Calera
0:2
Apr 10, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Union La Calera vs San Felipe
2:2
Oct 16, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Union La Calera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Felipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Galleguillos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozzo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Felipe 29 / 100
Union La Calera 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Felipe Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union La Calera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: San Felipe scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

San Felipe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Felipe VS Union La Calera
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Felipe

(Home)
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
23 Aug
Curico Unido
2 : 0
San Felipe
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1
Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6

Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)