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San Fernando de Henares vs Mostoles CF

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between San Fernando de Henares and Mostoles CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Fernando de Henares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Fernando de Henares
6%
Draws
4%
Mostoles CF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Fernando de Henares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Fernando de Henares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on San Fernando de Henares taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
San Fernando de Henares Clean Sheet 68%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Fernando de Henares Mostoles CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs San Fernando de Henares
0:3
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Fernando de Henares vs Mostoles CF
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Fernando de Henares 95 / 100
Mostoles CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Fernando de Henares Mostoles CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: San Fernando de Henares stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

San Fernando de Henares's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mostoles CF conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Fernando de Henares VS Mostoles CF
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%