Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Caputo A.
(Penalty)
57'
57'
Varela I.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between San Giorgio and A.C.D. Nardo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- A.C.D. Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on A.C.D. Nardo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors A.C.D. Nardo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Giorgio Clean Sheet 20%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Giorgio | A.C.D. Nardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2022 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs San Giorgio
5:1
May 4, 2022 Serie D - Group H
San Giorgio vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs San Giorgio
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Giorgio Compare
Top Goalscorer Varela I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
A.C.D. Nardo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Giorgio 24 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Giorgio A.C.D. Nardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick A.C.D. Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
San Giorgio found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: San Giorgio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
A.C.D. Nardo let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS A.C.D. Nardo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Giorgio
(Home) 29 May
A.C.D. Nardo
5 : 1 San Giorgio
22 May
Casertana
0 : 1 San Giorgio
15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6 Audace Cerignola
08 May
Gravina
1 : 1 San Giorgio
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
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15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6 Audace Cerignola
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
01 May
San Giorgio
0 : 0 Bisceglie
03 Apr
San Giorgio
1 : 2 Altamura
26 Mar
San Giorgio
1 : 0 Citta di Fasano
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A.C.D. Nardo
(Away) 20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2 Bisceglie
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 83:27 | 88 |
| 2 | Francavilla | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 62:44 | 71 |
| 3 | Bitonto | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:40 | 65 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 63:50 | 62 |
| 5 | Nocerina | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 6 | Gravina | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 51:49 | 56 |
| 7 | Casertana | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:52 | 55 |
| 8 | Sorrento | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 41:50 | 52 |
| 9 | SS Nola 1925 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 50:58 | 51 |
| 10 | Brindisi | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42:55 | 49 |
| 11 | Molfetta Calcio | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 48:45 | 48 |
| 12 | Mariglianese | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 13 | Casarano | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 37:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Altamura | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:45 | 47 |
| 15 | A.C.D. Nardo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59:67 | 45 |
| 16 | Lavello | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:56 | 45 |
| 17 | Rotonda | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 39:46 | 42 |
| 18 | San Giorgio | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 30:44 | 41 |
| 19 | Bisceglie | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 32:47 | 39 |
| 20 | Virtus Matino | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 36:62 | 30 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)
