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San Giorgio vs Brindisi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Badje I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between San Giorgio and Brindisi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brindisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Giorgio
20%
Draws
44%
Brindisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brindisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Brindisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Brindisi a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
San Giorgio Clean Sheet 17%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giorgio Brindisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group H
San Giorgio vs Brindisi
0:1
Oct 20, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs San Giorgio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giorgio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Badje I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giorgio 28 / 100
Brindisi 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giorgio Brindisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brindisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Giorgio found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Brindisi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

San Giorgio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Brindisi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brindisi
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giorgio

(Home)
29 May
A.C.D. Nardo
5 : 1
San Giorgio
22 May
Casertana
0 : 1
San Giorgio
15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6
Audace Cerignola
08 May
Gravina
1 : 1
San Giorgio
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

Brindisi

(Away)
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Real Forio 2014
4 : 1
Brindisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)