Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giorgio vs Citta di Fasano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mancini A.
29'
Calabria E.
57'
Sepe M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between San Giorgio and Citta di Fasano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Giorgio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Giorgio
20%
Draws
44%
Citta di Fasano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Citta di Fasano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Citta di Fasano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Citta di Fasano a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
San Giorgio Clean Sheet 19%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giorgio Citta di Fasano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group H
San Giorgio vs Citta di Fasano
1:0
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs San Giorgio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giorgio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Citta di Fasano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giorgio 10 / 100
Citta di Fasano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giorgio Citta di Fasano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Citta di Fasano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Giorgio's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Citta di Fasano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Solid form: San Giorgio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Citta di Fasano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Citta di Fasano
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giorgio

(Home)
29 May
A.C.D. Nardo
5 : 1
San Giorgio
22 May
Casertana
0 : 1
San Giorgio
15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6
Audace Cerignola
08 May
Gravina
1 : 1
San Giorgio
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

Citta di Fasano

(Away)
10 May
Citta di Fasano
1 : 2
Paganese
03 May
Citta di Fasano
6 : 0
Paganese
26 Apr
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Citta di Fasano
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0
Martina Calcio
12 Apr
Barletta
3 : 2
Citta di Fasano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)