Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giovanni vs Cailungo

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Giovanni play Cailungo in the Campionato Sammarinese. San Giovanni are favorites here. Recently, San Giovanni averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Cailungo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, San Giovanni won 5, Cailungo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for San Giovanni and 1.00 for Cailungo. This points to a San Giovanni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
San Giovanni
16%
Draws
16%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: San Giovanni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • San Giovanni picked up more points recently compared to Cailungo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 23%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni Cailungo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 0.9 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Cailungo
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs San Giovanni
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs San Giovanni
0:3
Oct 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Cailungo
5:1
Mar 17, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs San Giovanni
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 66 / 100
Cailungo 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni Cailungo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Giovanni Win (1)
Secondary Pick San Giovanni & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Giovanni attacking → ← attacking Cailungo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Giovanni scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Cailungo let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

San Giovanni went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cailungo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 11
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2