Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giovanni vs SS Murata

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
D'Angeli E.
Assist: Fabbri D.
38' Event
Zanni M.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Tahiri J.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between San Giovanni and SS Murata finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Giovanni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
San Giovanni
15%
Draws
42%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Giovanni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • San Giovanni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 68%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni SS Murata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs San Giovanni
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Murata
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs San Giovanni
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Murata
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs San Giovanni
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giovanni Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Angeli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

SS Murata Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahiri J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 41 / 100
SS Murata 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Giovanni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SS Murata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Away concern: SS Murata has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

San Giovanni's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Giovanni VS SS Murata
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giovanni

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

SS Murata

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)