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San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Ignacio host Aurrera de Vitoria in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: San Ignacio at 1.56 goals for, 1.03 against; Aurrera de Vitoria at 1.37 for, 1.2 against. Past meetings favor San Ignacio slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.50, favoring San Ignacio. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
San Ignacio
20%
Draws
47%
Aurrera de Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • San Ignacio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • San Ignacio have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 16%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Aurrera de Vitoria
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs San Ignacio
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
3:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs San Ignacio
0:1
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 30 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Aurrera de Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Ignacio scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Aurrera de Vitoria conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: San Ignacio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS Aurrera de Vitoria
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
10 Oct
San Ignacio
2 : 1
Eibar C
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
Page 1 of 7

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Away)
10 Oct
Leioa
4 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)