Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Ignacio vs Pasaia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Arrizabalaga Agirre P.
78' Event
Ayestaran B. M.

AI Match Summary

Pasaia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pasaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
San Ignacio
15%
Draws
26%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • San Ignacio have won more games recently than Pasaia.
  • San Ignacio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Pasaia
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Pasaia
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs San Ignacio
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs San Ignacio
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Pasaia
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs San Ignacio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Ignacio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pasaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrizabalaga Agirre P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayestaran B. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 95 / 100
Pasaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Ignacio scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Pasaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Solid form: San Ignacio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pasaia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS Pasaia
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2
San Ignacio
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1
Alaves C
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1
San Ignacio
19 Apr
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Leioa
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Pasaia

(Away)
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)