Sport Picks

USA

MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA

San Jose Earthquakes

2 - 3

FC Dallas

Our Tip

Match Events

Delgado P.

18'

Leroux B.

42'

Leroux B.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and FC Dallas finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Dallas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

San Jose Earthquakes

11%

Draws

80%

FC Dallas

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

San Jose Earthquakes carry the better recent record into this one.
FC Dallas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 10%

FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes	FC Dallas
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	17	14
Draws	2	7
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	2.25	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas

2:3

Jul 17, 2025 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas

2:2

Jun 26, 2025 MLS

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes

2:4

Oct 3, 2024 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas

3:2

Feb 25, 2024 MLS

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Leroux B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Roberts R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

FC Dallas Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Musa P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 10 / 100

FC Dallas 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Earthquakes FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

FC Dallas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

San Jose Earthquakes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS FC Dallas

2.25 Goals Scored 1.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes

(Home)

23 Jul

San Jose Earthquakes

0 : 4

Orlando City

04 Jul

San Jose Earthquakes

1 : 2

Club Tijuana

24 May

Portland Timbers

1 : 3

San Jose Earthquakes

21 May

Colorado Rapids

2 : 0

San Jose Earthquakes

17 May

San Jose Earthquakes

2 : 3

FC Dallas

Page 1 of 6

FC Dallas

(Away)

23 Jul

Portland Timbers

2 : 2

FC Dallas

24 May

Colorado Rapids

1 : 2

FC Dallas

17 May

San Jose Earthquakes

2 : 3

FC Dallas

14 May

FC Dallas

2 : 3

Vancouver Whitecaps

10 May

FC Dallas

3 : 1

Real Salt Lake

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	15	10	2	3	37:16	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	16	10	2	4	34:19	32
3	Los Angeles FC	17	9	3	5	30:18	30
4	Real Salt Lake	15	8	2	5	27:22	26
5	FC Dallas	16	7	5	4	32:24	26
6	Seattle Sounders	15	7	3	5	19:19	24
7	Houston Dynamo	15	7	2	6	20:24	23
8	St. Louis City	16	6	4	6	22:23	22
9	Minnesota United	16	6	4	6	19:24	22
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	17	5	5	7	23:28	20
11	Colorado Rapids	16	6	1	9	26:24	19
12	Portland Timbers	16	5	3	8	29:31	18
13	San Diego FC	16	4	5	7	30:28	17
14	Austin FC	16	4	5	7	22:32	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	16	4	2	10	18:40	14

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	16	12	3	1	33:11	39
2	Inter Miami	16	10	4	2	42:30	34
3	Chicago Fire	15	8	2	5	29:19	26
4	New England Revolution	15	8	2	5	22:18	26
5	FC Cincinnati	16	6	5	5	40:40	23
6	New York City	16	6	4	6	27:22	22
7	Charlotte FC	16	6	4	6	26:25	22
8	New York Red Bulls	16	6	4	6	26:35	22
9	DC United	16	4	7	5	22:26	19
10	Orlando City	16	5	2	9	27:44	17
11	Columbus Crew	16	4	4	8	22:25	16
12	Toronto FC	16	3	7	6	22:29	16
13	CF Montreal	16	4	3	9	22:32	15
14	Atlanta United	16	3	3	10	16:26	12
15	Philadelphia Union	16	2	4	10	21:31	10

Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)