Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 PayPal Park
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Bery J.
31'
Burton M.
34'
Rajagopal R.

AI Match Summary

Austin FC II in this MLS Next Pro 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
San Jose Earthquakes II
20%
Draws
38%
Austin FC II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes II haven't matched Austin FC II's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on San Jose Earthquakes II taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes II Austin FC II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin FC II
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs San Jose Earthquakes II
3:4
Apr 21, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin FC II
1:0
Aug 13, 2023 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin FC II
0:2
May 20, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs San Jose Earthquakes II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Farkarlun B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alastuey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 40 / 100
Austin FC II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes II Austin FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Austin FC II has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

San Jose Earthquakes II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Austin FC II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717