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San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
San Jose Earthquakes II Logo

San Jose Earthquakes II

4 - 0
FT
Real Monarchs Logo

Real Monarchs

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Allen T.
Assist: Fernandez N.
23'
Amparo I.
34'
Heisner J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Real Monarchs finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Jose Earthquakes II
15%
Draws
34%
Real Monarchs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Jose Earthquakes II come out ahead of Real Monarchs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Jose Earthquakes II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • San Jose Earthquakes II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 20%
Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes II Real Monarchs
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.94 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs
4:0
Jun 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs
3:0
May 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1
Aug 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohane Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Allen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Real Monarchs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 85 / 100
Real Monarchs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes II Real Monarchs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monarchs has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

San Jose Earthquakes II found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: San Jose Earthquakes II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Real Monarchs
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 7

Real Monarchs

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1
Ventura County
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)