Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Jose Earthquakes II vs St. Louis City 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
San Jose Earthquakes II Logo

San Jose Earthquakes II

0 - 2
FT
St. Louis City 2 Logo

St. Louis City 2

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Pickering N.
46'
Sub
de Flores S. In: Donnery J.
Out: de Flores S.
46'
Sub
Ota Y. In: Cornelius L.
Out: Ota Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and St. Louis City 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
San Jose Earthquakes II
15%
Draws
21%
St. Louis City 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes II's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what St. Louis City 2 have produced (1.67).
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on San Jose Earthquakes II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 13%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes II St. Louis City 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs St. Louis City 2
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
3:1
May 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs St. Louis City 2
4:0
Oct 27, 2024 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
4:2
Sep 22, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs St. Louis City 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pickering N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 84 / 100
St. Louis City 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes II St. Louis City 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

St. Louis City 2 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

San Jose Earthquakes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes II VS St. Louis City 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

St. Louis City 2

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
23 Aug
St. Louis City 2
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)