Sport Picks
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tacoma Defiance have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while San Jose Earthquakes II have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Tacoma Defiance slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.88) back Tacoma Defiance to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tacoma Defiance have won more games recently than San Jose Earthquakes II.
- Win probability leans San Jose Earthquakes II's way, sitting at 60%.
- Tacoma Defiance arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tacoma Defiance, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tacoma Defiance have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Jose Earthquakes II | Tacoma Defiance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Jose Earthquakes II Compare
Tacoma Defiance Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Tacoma Defiance has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
San Jose Earthquakes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
