Sport Picks
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC
USA
MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Match Events
9'
9'
Rosales J.
38'
38'
Sub
Guilherme Biro In: Kolmanic Z.
Out: Guilherme Biro
45'
45'
Edwards E.
AI Match Summary
San Jose Earthquakes in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Jose Earthquakes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Austin FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Austin FC haven't matched San Jose Earthquakes's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC taking it.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 11%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2026 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC
5:1
Oct 19, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
3:1
Jul 9, 2025 US Open Cup
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC
2:3
May 26, 2024 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Jose Earthquakes Compare
Top Goalscorer Judd P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jasinski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Austin FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rosales J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Jose Earthquakes 18 / 100
Austin FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Jose Earthquakes Austin FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Jose Earthquakes scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Austin FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Austin FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Jose Earthquakes VS Austin FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Jose Earthquakes
(Home) 23 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
0 : 4 Orlando City
04 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 2 Club Tijuana
24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
21 May
Colorado Rapids
2 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
17 May
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 3 FC Dallas
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
0 : 4 Orlando City
04 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 2 Club Tijuana
17 May
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 3 FC Dallas
10 May
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
29 Apr
San Jose Earthquakes
4 : 2 Minnesota United
Page 1 of 4
Austin FC
(Away) 23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1 Seattle Sounders
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0 Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1 Queretaro
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0 Austin FC
17 May
Austin FC
1 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0 Austin FC
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0 Austin FC
10 May
Minnesota United
2 : 2 Austin FC
23 Apr
San Jose Earthquakes
5 : 1 Austin FC
18 Apr
Toronto FC
3 : 3 Austin FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)