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San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
San Jose Earthquakes Logo

San Jose Earthquakes

2 - 2
FT
Los Angeles FC Logo

Los Angeles FC

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Son Heung-Min
Assist: Delgado M.
36'
Long A.
46'
Sub
Munie D. In: Costa V.
Out: Munie D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
San Jose Earthquakes
35%
Draws
20%
Los Angeles FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Los Angeles FC lately — more wins on the board than San Jose Earthquakes.
  • Model gives San Jose Earthquakes a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 18%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes Los Angeles FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:4
Sep 14, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
2:4
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Judd P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Heung-Min
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouanga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 40 / 100
Los Angeles FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: San Jose Earthquakes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Los Angeles FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS Los Angeles FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes

(Home)
11 Oct
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)