Sport Picks
San Jose Earthquakes vs Monterey Bay
World
Club Friendly 
AI Match Summary
San Jose Earthquakes host Monterey Bay in the Club Friendly. This has San Jose Earthquakes written all over it on paper. San Jose Earthquakes have averaged 1 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Monterey Bay's 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor San Jose Earthquakes slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring San Jose Earthquakes. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and San Jose Earthquakes come out ahead of Monterey Bay on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Jose Earthquakes | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Jose Earthquakes found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
Monterey Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Monterey Bay's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.