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San Jose Earthquakes vs New York City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Bouda O.
88' Event
Tsakiris N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

San Jose Earthquakes host New York City in the Club Friendly. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. San Jose Earthquakes have averaged 2.75 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against New York City's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 to New York City's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.63, favoring San Jose Earthquakes. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Jose Earthquakes
44%
Draws
20%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to New York City.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 14%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes New York City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
San Jose Earthquakes vs New York City
2:0
May 31, 2024 MLS
New York City vs San Jose Earthquakes
5:1
Feb 7, 2024 Club Friendly
New York City vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:2
Jan 24, 2023 Club Friendly
New York City vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:2
May 1, 2022 MLS
New York City vs San Jose Earthquakes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouda O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

New York City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 35 / 100
New York City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes New York City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

New York City let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

San Jose Earthquakes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

New York City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS New York City
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%