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San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
San Jose Earthquakes Logo

San Jose Earthquakes

3 - 1
FT
Portland Timbers Logo

Portland Timbers

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Judd P.
Assist: Lowen E.
24' Event
Lowen E.
Assist: Leroux B.
29' Event
Judd P.
Assist: Marie P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Jose Earthquakes
30%
Draws
19%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Jose Earthquakes come out ahead of Portland Timbers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Jose Earthquakes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and San Jose Earthquakes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 15%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes Portland Timbers
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.85 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
3:1
May 24, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:3
Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
3:2
Jun 14, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:1
May 21, 2025 US Open Cup
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Judd P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lowen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 84 / 100
Portland Timbers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Portland Timbers conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Jose Earthquakes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS Portland Timbers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes

(Home)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers

(Away)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)