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San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC

USA USA

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Match Events

11'
Bouda O.
13' Event
Tsakiris N.
Assist: Judd P.
32'
Duah M.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and San Diego FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
San Jose Earthquakes
33%
Draws
40%
San Diego FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on San Diego FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 13%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes San Diego FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsakiris N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Judd P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

San Diego FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 27 / 100
San Diego FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes San Diego FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

San Diego FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

San Jose Earthquakes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS San Diego FC
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307