Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016

Marchamalo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Jose Obrero play Marchamalo in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Jose Obrero averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Marchamalo averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, San Jose Obrero won 1, Marchamalo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2016 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for San Jose Obrero and 1.30 for Marchamalo. This points to a Marchamalo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

San Jose Obrero

20%

Draws

46%

Marchamalo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

San Jose Obrero picked up more points recently compared to Marchamalo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

San Jose Obrero Clean Sheet 19%

Marchamalo Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Obrero	Marchamalo
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	18	15
Goals Scored	0.8	1.19
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

San Jose Obrero vs Marchamalo

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:5

Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Marchamalo vs San Jose Obrero

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Obrero 34 / 100

Marchamalo 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Obrero Marchamalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Marchamalo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Jose Obrero attacking → ← attacking Marchamalo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Obrero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Marchamalo let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

San Jose Obrero went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Marchamalo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	38	24	4	10	54:26	76
2	Almagro	38	22	10	6	64:33	76
3	Azuqueca	38	20	10	8	58:31	70
4	UD Almansa	38	17	15	6	54:35	66
5	Quintanar del Rey	38	17	11	10	38:29	62
6	Madridejos	38	16	12	10	47:45	60
7	Illescas	38	16	10	12	50:47	58
8	Villarrobledo	38	15	9	14	44:38	54
9	Marchamalo	38	14	10	14	51:53	52
10	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	14	9	15	41:36	51
11	Toledo 2	38	14	9	15	50:48	51
12	Villarrubia	38	12	12	14	34:34	48
13	CD Pedroneras	38	12	12	14	36:42	48
14	Albacete B	38	10	16	12	47:51	46
15	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	43:48	46
16	Manzanares	38	11	12	15	39:43	45
17	Atletico Ibanes	38	9	15	14	29:42	42
18	La Gineta	38	8	8	22	41:61	32
19	San Jose Obrero	38	7	10	21	37:70	31
20	Munera CF	38	5	7	26	28:73	22