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San Juan FC vs Universitario de Sucre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
San Juan FC
20%
Draws
24%
Universitario de Sucre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Juan FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Universitario de Sucre lately — more wins on the board than San Juan FC.
  • San Juan FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Universitario de Sucre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor San Juan FC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and San Juan FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Juan FC Clean Sheet 17%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Juan FC Universitario de Sucre
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.09 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Juan FC vs Universitario de Sucre
2:0
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs San Juan FC
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs San Juan FC
2:3
Nov 16, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Juan FC vs Universitario de Sucre
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Juan FC 84 / 100
Universitario de Sucre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Juan FC Universitario de Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Juan FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Juan FC scored in 87% of their last 23 games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Universitario de Sucre let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

San Juan FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Juan FC VS Universitario de Sucre
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Juan FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Chaco FC
0 : 4
San Juan FC
27 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
0 : 1
San Juan FC
19 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
3 : 2
San Juan FC
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
06 Sept
San Juan FC
5 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 5

Universitario de Sucre

(Away)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
0 : 4
Deportivo Tigres
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
04 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
30 Aug
Universitario de Sucre
1 : 1
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)