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San Juan FC vs Universitario de Sucre

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Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with San Juan FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
San Juan FC
17%
Draws
70%
Universitario de Sucre
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Universitario de Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • San Juan FC haven't matched Universitario de Sucre's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Sucre taking it.
  • Universitario de Sucre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor San Juan FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
San Juan FC Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Juan FC Universitario de Sucre
Matches Played 16 26
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.75 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs San Juan FC
2:3
Nov 16, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Juan FC vs Universitario de Sucre
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Juan FC 14 / 100
Universitario de Sucre 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Juan FC Universitario de Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Juan FC scored in 81% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Sucre conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

San Juan FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Juan FC VS Universitario de Sucre
2.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

San Juan FC

(Home)
23 Dec
Academia del Balompie
3 : 0
San Juan FC
21 Dec
San Juan FC
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
07 Dec
San Juan FC
1 : 1
Real Potosi
30 Nov
Real Potosi
4 : 0
San Juan FC
23 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 3
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 4

Universitario de Sucre

(Away)
23 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 3
San Juan FC
16 Nov
San Juan FC
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
09 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
02 Nov
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5