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San Juan FC vs Universitario de Tarija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
San Juan FC
20%
Draws
23%
Universitario de Tarija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Juan FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • San Juan FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Juan FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • San Juan FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor San Juan FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Juan FC Clean Sheet 20%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Juan FC Universitario de Tarija
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs San Juan FC
3:2
Sep 6, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Juan FC vs Universitario de Tarija
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Juan FC 85 / 100
Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Juan FC Universitario de Tarija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Juan FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Juan FC scored in 86% of their last 22 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Universitario de Tarija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: San Juan FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Juan FC VS Universitario de Tarija
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

San Juan FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
0 : 1
San Juan FC
19 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
3 : 2
San Juan FC
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
06 Sept
San Juan FC
5 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
30 Aug
Universitario de Sucre
1 : 1
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 5

Universitario de Tarija

(Away)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
19 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
3 : 2
San Juan FC
12 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 3
Deportivo Tigres
06 Sept
San Juan FC
5 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
29 Aug
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)