Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
31'
31'
Insaurralde M.
34'
34'
Herrera F.
35'
35'
Sub
Cuello A. In: Rattalino J.
Out: Cuello A.
AI Match Summary
Boca Juniors in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boca Juniors.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Juniors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Boca Juniors lately — more wins on the board than San Lorenzo.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Boca Juniors taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 17%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 13 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.46 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors
0:2
Mar 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo
3:2
Mar 30, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Nov 8, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23
Boca Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Lozano L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Merentiel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 10 / 100
Boca Juniors 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Boca Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Lorenzo scored in 61% of their last 33 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Defensive concern: Boca Juniors conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.
San Lorenzo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Boca Juniors
0.29 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0 San Lorenzo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
15 Aug
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Huracan
28 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 4
Boca Juniors
(Away) 03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3 Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3 Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 10 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
