Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Gulli F. In: Barrios N.
Out: Gulli F.
46'
46'
Sub
Mondino D. In: Carrera L.
Out: Mondino D.
46'
46'
Sub
Alassia G. In: Rattalino J.
Out: Alassia G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between San Lorenzo and Gimnasia Mendoza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Lorenzo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia Mendoza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- San Lorenzo haven't matched Gimnasia Mendoza's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on San Lorenzo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Gimnasia Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza
1:0
Jan 27, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Auzmendi R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Gimnasia Mendoza Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 42 / 100
Gimnasia Mendoza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Gimnasia Mendoza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Lorenzo's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Gimnasia Mendoza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: San Lorenzo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Gimnasia Mendoza
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0 San Lorenzo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
15 Aug
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Huracan
28 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
(Away) 05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:9 | 18 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 10 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
