Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Duarte J. In: Gerzel G.
Out: Duarte J.
63'
63'
Sub
Colman C. In: Ferreira M.
Out: Colman C.
63'
63'
Sub
Villamayor H. In: Garcia M.
Out: Villamayor H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guarani come out ahead of San Lorenzo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Guarani's way, sitting at 50%.
- Guarani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 16%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.61 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Jul 30, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Nov 16, 2020 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 23 / 100
Guarani 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
San Lorenzo found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).
Guarani let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Guarani
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Guarani
(Away) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
