Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires 
AI Match Summary
San Lorenzo host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. San Lorenzo have averaged 0.86 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Newells Old Boys's 0.89 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Newells Old Boys slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward San Lorenzo. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- San Lorenzo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Lorenzo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Newells Old Boys let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home)Newells Old Boys
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:18 | 9 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 19 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6:16 | 6 |
