Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo 
Match Events
10'
10'
Barrios J.
34'
34'
Ruiz O.
Assist: Maiz A.
46'
46'
Sub
Garcia M. In: Esteche L.
Out: Garcia M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sp. Luqueno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Sp. Luqueno have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Sp. Luqueno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Sp. Luqueno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
0:2
May 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0
Jun 24, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sp. Luqueno Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maggi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 41 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Sp. Luqueno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Lorenzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sp. Luqueno let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
San Lorenzo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Sp. Luqueno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Sp. Luqueno
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Sp. Luqueno
(Away) 05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
